Saturday, July 3, 2010

Roulette Systems and Roulette Software

"Why Roulette Systems Don't Work"
First lets clarify the differences between the two and get a better understanding of them. A Roulette System is a guide or set of rules to go by when making your bets with the idea that you should be able to come out on top if you follow these simple rules. Roulette Software on the other hand, is a downloadable program that will tell you how to make your next bets with probabilities and different algorithms taken into account for you so that you will get the highest probability of winning on your next bet. In a nutshell, you should see the differences very plainly now.
"Don't Use Roulette Systems, Let Roulette Software Do The Work For You"
The major downfall in Roulette Systems, is that they leave too much room for error. First, you have to read your guide on how one guy made so many thousands within 24 hrs and remember all of the tips, strategies, and betting rules he used in order to duplicate his success. Next, you have to take the systems and apply all of it yourself in real life situations with your hard earned cash. I don't know about you, but trying to duplicate one persons success by remembering all of their great advice and strategies, doesn't seem too promising. Don't get me wrong, I'm sure with some systems there are great tips and strategies but there are too many variables that can effect different situations, and this is where the major downfall of the Roulette Systems come into play.
For our scenario here, we will use one of the more Popular Roulette Systems on the internet, called Fast Roulette Systems. In the summary of this ebook that is on the home page, the seller reveals the tips and strategies that will be revealed and there are two that stick out the most to me; "how to use the statistical advances strategy to win the roulette game", and "apply the secret of roulette probability analysis". Another example of why systems leave too much to chance and why most fail when used by the average joe. Do you think an average joe can do probability analysis and use statistical advanced strategies on the fly when playing roulette? I think I can safely assume this to be "No". As stated before, too many variables can come into play and this is why Roulette Systems "Do Not Work".
So lets take a look at Roulette Software on the other hand. The Roulette Software I did my original review on was The Roulette Sniper, so we will use this software for our scenario. The software here is a downloadable program first of all, no 100 page ebook you have to read :) so hours of reading tips, strategies, rules, statistics, analysis and other things you have to remember are immediately out the window here.
Next, with the software, such as the Roulette Sniper, you simply have to play a few hands in order to get some historical data to insert into the program. Once you have done this, the Roulette Software will take care of the rest. What I mean by this, is the program will actually tell you how to bet. Yes, you heard me correctly. You keep inserting the results of every spin and the software will actually go through probabilites, algorithms, historical data and then tell you how to bet. You can actually watch a video of this software in action to get an idea of how you just follow directions. This is why Roulette Software works and Roulette Systems do not. The software does not allow room for the average joe to have to calculate, strategize, or remember anything, the software will take care of it all.

Roulette Secrets Review

Playing roulette in a casino is fantastic fun for me - I just love everything about it - the atmosphere, lights, free drinks and I even win money quite often. I love to gamble but I am very conservative in my gambling - I know that casinos don't get rich if the odds weren't in their favour. So when I hear someone talking about the next roulette secret I am always suspicious.
The fact is when I hear or read on the internet about the latest roulette gambling method that can't lose - I usually find it's based on either the Martingale system or the Monte Carlo fallacy.
Monte Carlo Fallacy
The Monte Carlo Fallacy or as it's also known - the gamblers fallacy is simply incredible in that it is survived so many years and still believed by many people. I think the problem is that on the surface it's so plausible and this is why it ends up being the basis of so many roulette secrets. The idea behind it is that any deviation from the mean will be counterbalanced by an opposite deviation. This means in English that if I spun a roulette wheel 10 times and it came up red each time - you would be expecting black to come up next to equal out the averages. The simple fact is that after 10 red spins (if we ignore the 0s) the likelihood of red coming up is still 50/50. Sure the probability of getting 11 reds in a row is very high but by the time you've rolled 10 - the next one is still 50/50. Passed events do not affect future events in a random game like roulette.
The gamblers fallacy is often why people sit for hours marking little cards in casinos studying passed events like how many odds, evens and reds etc have come up. So next time you see 6 black spins on roulette and contemplate putting your title deeds on red for the next spin - remember you are still taking a 50/50 guess.
Martingale System
This system or a variant is also often offered as a hidden roulette system to beat the odds. In fact it even appeared on an episode of CSI Vegas which is quite ironic considering the improbability of the deaths on that show. It's basic concept is quite simple - you apply the system to some 50/50 bet - maybe betting red again on the roulette wheel (the odds are not exactly 50/50 obviously but that is the risk you always take). You start off with a low bet on say red - and then of you lose you keep doubling your bet. The idea is that you will always make a profit - so if you bet $1,$2,$4,$8,$16 and won on the 6th spin you would win $32 -$31 total stake - so a dollar profit. There are many issues with this strategy besides the existence of a house edge (zero in this case) - but the main problem is that it is surprising how many times the same event is repeated and you required stake can multiple alarmingly - a little bad luck and soon you could be placing a bet in the thousands to win back your dollar.
If you get to the point where you can't afford the stake or are unwilling - the whole strategy falls apart. What you are doing is risking a huge loss for the gain of lots of little wins - which is clearly no roulette secret! The system was originally developed in France in the 18th Century and needless to say none of it's founders became wealthy through using it. Amazingly it still appears everywhere as the latest roulette secret even today.
Of course there is a fundamental difference with random chance and probability in real life games with that of online experiences - you can't beat the odds if a result is purely random. Computers however are deterministic machines and producing random numbers has also been difficult as they have to be programmed to do produce them.
I've been currently trying a software program that claims to have spotted weaknesses in the algorithms and can predict the most likely winning spins. I'm not sure if it works yet - it focusses on outside bets - ir not specific number bets and it is simple to use. I've won quite a few times with it but when using outside bets you do usually have better chance of turning a profit.

Roulette Sniper